In 2025, the profits of the "Big Seven US Stocks" are expected to increase by only 18%. Investors are looking for new targets. It is predicted that the combined profits of the seven technology giants, namely Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla, will increase by only 18% in 2025, far lower than the 34% in 2024. Excluding NVIDIA, the biggest beneficiary of AI fanaticism, the combined profits of the other six companies will only increase by 3% in 2025. To this end, investors have begun to look for new investment targets, such as energy and biotechnology units. An 18% profit increase is a good performance for almost all industries, except for these large technology companies. At the same time, the profit increase of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is expected to reach 13%, higher than this year's 10%. In other words, these technology giants will no longer be the growth benchmarks of American companies. Julian McManus, portfolio manager of investment company Janus Henderson, said: "The Big Seven may not be the engine of market growth as it was in the past year." To this end, investors have responded. According to EPFR Global data, in the week ending December 4th, the IT sector suffered the largest capital outflow in six weeks, reaching $1.4 billion, while small-cap stocks attracted $4.6 billion in capital inflow. (Global Market Broadcast)The Bank of England plans to further provide liquidity through key repurchase tools, and the Bank of England plans to provide more liquidity to banks at a lower price to cope with the possible cash shortage in the British financial system in the future. On December 9th, the Bank of England said that it would increase the available reserve in the auction of indexed long-term repo (ILTR) from 25 billion to at least 30 billion pounds (about 38 billion US dollars). It is planned to provide more reserves at a lower "initial pricing level" and adjust the price for obtaining more reserves. These suggestions were made in a consulting report released on Monday, just before Dave Ramsden, vice governor, made a speech on financial stability. The Bank of England said it expects these adjustments to be implemented in the second quarter of 2025.The 10-year yield of US debt rose by 1.01% to 4.191.
The net inflow of 14 extra-large single shares exceeded 200 million yuan. According to data treasure, today, the net inflow of 14 extra-large single shares exceeded 200 million yuan, and the net inflow of Keli Sensing extra-large single shares was 669 million yuan, ranking first in the scale of net inflow funds; The net inflow of Sanfeng Smart Extra Large Orders was 626 million yuan, ranking second; The top net inflows are Fenda Technology, Vanadium and Titanium, and China Unicom. Among the extra-large single net outflow stocks, yongtai energy's extra-large single net outflow funds were 1.963 billion yuan, with the largest net outflow funds; The net outflow funds of Zhonggong Education and Oriental Fortune were 1.638 billion yuan and 1.470 billion yuan respectively, and the net outflow funds ranked second and third.Deutsche Bank raised lululemon's target price from 292.00 to 396.00.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.
COMEX gold futures rose more than 1.00% in the day and are now reported at $2,686.20 per ounce.On December 9th, some netizens found that oral SMEC was the first to be sold in the whole network of Meituan, so you can place an order first by searching for keywords, while trying to search for another "slimming medicine", or you can enter the reservation channel to make a reservation first. The oral version of Simei is also a star medicine that Meituan once again won the first launch of the whole network after Nuoheying. The weight-loss track continues to be hot. In the fourth quarter of this year, a large number of GLP-1 drugs were listed in China. Industry sources pointed out that the pre-sale in the same week was also the first positive confrontation between Smegrupeptide, the first weight-loss brother, and Telpotide, the reduced show. (Interface News)Pre-market news of U.S. stocks: ① Stock index futures of U.S. stocks fell slightly before the market closed on Monday, global stock markets remained stable, and investors digested geopolitical turmoil. ② As of press time, Dow futures fell 0.07%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.11%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.15%. (3) Germany's DAX index fell by 0.10%, Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.26%, France's CAC40 index rose by 0.34%, and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell by 0.02%. ④WTI crude oil rose 1.21% to $68.01/barrel. Brent crude oil rose 1.00% to $71.83/barrel. ⑤ The next test of the financial market is the US consumer price report on Wednesday, which will provide the Fed policymakers with a final observation of the inflation environment before the last meeting this year. The core data is expected to remain at 3.3% in November, which should not hinder the interest rate cut. 6. Analysts of Wall Street banks have basically published their annual forecasts. Their average forecast is that the S&P 500 index will rise by about 10%, which is in line with the historical average. 7 Tesla's share price rose more than 2% before the market, approaching a record high, and the sales growth target for next year is 20-30%. Today, NVIDIA's pre-market diving fell by more than 2%, and the General Administration of Market Supervision decided to file an investigation according to law. Pet-name ruby ultra-micro computers rose more than 12% before trading, and the request for delaying the submission of financial reports was approved by Nasdaq.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13